Sparta Prag 2-3 Sigma Olomouc — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.22
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
19%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.59
Over 2.5
63%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.78
2-3 Goals
37%
2.04
4-5 Goals
30%
2.61
6+ Goals
14%
6.03
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
77%
-16.3pp
20%
Draw
14%
+5.5pp
19%
Away Win
8%
+10.7pp
37%
Under 2.5
35%
+1.8pp
63%
Over 2.5
65%
-1.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.8pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Sigma Olomouc EU Bookmakers 11%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +19%
2.13/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/2.29
+2% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +24%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
349 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 73%
35.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.7
22.2 Crosses 11.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Prag
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Sigma Olomouc
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.04.2024 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 1-4 HT 0-2 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
23.07.2023 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-0 HT 1-0 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
07.05.2023 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 0-1 HT 0-1 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
28.01.2023 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 1-1 HT 1-1 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
14.08.2022 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-0 HT 1-0 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
20.04.2022 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 2-0 HT 2-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Prag
2-3
AWAY Sigma Olomouc
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 1
401 Passes 196
80% Pass Accuracy 66%
36 Box Touches 10
29 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sparta Prag vs Sigma Olomouc
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sigma Olomouc nicked a narrow win over Sparta Prag 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Sparta Prag at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%) came in.

On the day, Sparta Prag had 63% of the ball to Sigma Olomouc's 37%, shots finished 16-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Prag had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sparta Prag and 0.67 for Sigma Olomouc.

What was the final score of Sparta Prag vs Sigma Olomouc?

Sparta Prag 2-3 Sigma Olomouc in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Prag vs Sigma Olomouc?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Sparta Prag 61%, draw 20%, Sigma Olomouc 19%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sparta Prag) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sparta Prag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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