Sigma Olomouc 1-4 Sparta Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.4
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
58%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.63
2-3 Goals
37%
1.91
4-5 Goals
28%
2.86
6+ Goals
13%
8.08
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
33%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
15%
+2.7pp
24%
Draw
19%
+4.7pp
58%
Away Win
66%
-7.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.0pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sigma Olomouc EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 70%
+2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +10%
0.78/2.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.06/0.89
+11% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +6%
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
234 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 436 · 83%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.9
17.5 Crosses 23.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sigma Olomouc
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Sparta Prag
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.07.2023 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-0 HT 1-0 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
07.05.2023 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 0-1 HT 0-1 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
28.01.2023 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 1-1 HT 1-1 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
14.08.2022 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-0 HT 1-0 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
20.04.2022 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 2-0 HT 2-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
24.07.2021 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 3-2 HT 1-1 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
POST-MATCH Sigma Olomouc vs Sparta Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Prag cruised past Sigma Olomouc 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sparta Prag as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Prag led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sigma Olomouc and 1.50 for Sparta Prag.

What was the final score of Sigma Olomouc vs Sparta Prag?

Sigma Olomouc 1-4 Sparta Prag in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sigma Olomouc vs Sparta Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Sigma Olomouc 18%, draw 24%, Sparta Prag 58%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Prag), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Prag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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