Bohemians 1905 2-1 FK Pardubice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.81
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.21
6+ Goals
8%
11.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.81 — our 28% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-8.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+8.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.4pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bohemians 1905 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Pardubice EU Bookmakers 24%
+2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +12%
1.53/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.54
-16% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
391 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
Crosses 13.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bohemians 1905
3W-1D-2L
AWAY FK Pardubice
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.01.2024 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice TİPSK
22.07.2023 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 0-1 HT 0-1 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 ÇEK
12.03.2023 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 2-0 HT 1-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
18.09.2022 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 0-1 HT 0-0 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 ÇEK
01.05.2022 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 0-1 HT 0-1 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
18.12.2021 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 1-2 HT 0-1 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bohemians 1905
2-1
AWAY FK Pardubice
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Bohemians 1905 vs FK Pardubice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bohemians 1905 nicked a narrow win over FK Pardubice 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bohemians 1905 as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Bohemians 1905 had 44% of the ball to FK Pardubice's 56%, shots finished 9-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bohemians 1905 had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Bohemians 1905 and 0.50 for FK Pardubice.

What was the final score of Bohemians 1905 vs FK Pardubice?

Bohemians 1905 2-1 FK Pardubice in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bohemians 1905 vs FK Pardubice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bohemians 1905 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Bohemians 1905 45%, draw 26%, FK Pardubice 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bohemians 1905) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bohemians 1905) ✗ Under 2.5
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