Hradec Kralove 1-2 Slavia Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.91
Draw
35%
4.19
Away
45%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.79
2-3 Goals
44%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.22
6+ Goals
8%
11.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.79 — our 26% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
33%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
14%
+6.3pp
35%
Draw
20%
+14.4pp
45%
Away Win
66%
-20.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.6pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hradec Kralove EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Slavia Prag EU Bookmakers 70%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +9%
0.40/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.00
-36% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -6%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
252 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 74%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.4
16.0 Crosses 19.9
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hradec Kralove
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Slavia Prag
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
06.12.2023 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 0-2 HT 0-0 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEKK
22.07.2023 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 2-0 HT 1-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
30.04.2023 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 1-1 HT 1-1 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
31.07.2022 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 1-0 HT 0-0 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
27.02.2022 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 1-5 HT 0-4 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
26.09.2021 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 4-1 HT 2-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hradec Kralove
1-2
AWAY Slavia Prag
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Hradec Kralove vs Slavia Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slavia Prag nicked a narrow win over Hradec Kralove 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Slavia Prag as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Hradec Kralove had 47% of the ball to Slavia Prag's 53%, shots finished 7-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slavia Prag led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hradec Kralove and 2.33 for Slavia Prag.

What was the final score of Hradec Kralove vs Slavia Prag?

Hradec Kralove 1-2 Slavia Prag in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hradec Kralove vs Slavia Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated an Slavia Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Hradec Kralove 20%, draw 35%, Slavia Prag 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slavia Prag), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Slavia Prag) ✓ BTTS Yes
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