Jablonec 1-1 Mlada Boleslav — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.63
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
26%
3.33
6+ Goals
8%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.63 — our 25% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.4pp
32%
Draw
26%
+5.9pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.6pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jablonec EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Mlada Boleslav EU Bookmakers 36%
-6% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -5%
1.07/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.45
-23% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
269 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
Crosses 13.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jablonec
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Mlada Boleslav
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.07.2023 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 3-1 HT 1-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
12.11.2022 Jablonec Jablonec 1-2 HT 1-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
07.08.2022 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 2-2 HT 1-2 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
16.02.2022 Jablonec Jablonec 4-0 HT 1-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEKK
28.11.2021 Jablonec Jablonec 0-1 HT 0-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
31.07.2021 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 3-0 HT 2-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jablonec
1-1
AWAY Mlada Boleslav
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Jablonec vs Mlada Boleslav
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jablonec and Mlada Boleslav couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 32% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Jablonec had 47% of the ball to Mlada Boleslav's 53%, shots finished 13-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mlada Boleslav led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Jablonec and 1.83 for Mlada Boleslav.

What was the final score of Jablonec vs Mlada Boleslav?

Jablonec 1-1 Mlada Boleslav in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jablonec vs Mlada Boleslav?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jablonec win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Jablonec 37%, draw 32%, Mlada Boleslav 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Jablonec) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jablonec) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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