Ulm 1846 3-1 Braunschweig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 27 Sep 2024

Ulm 1846
3-1 HT 2-0
Braunschweig
📅27/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Ulm 1846 vs Braunschweig Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.82
Over 2.5
53%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.22
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.65
6+ Goals
10%
15.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.73
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
29.0
1/X
6%
13.05
X/1
18%
5.51
X/2
11%
5.53
X/X
13%
4.48
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
14%
3.76
2/X
7%
13.05
Value flag · 1/2 at 29.0 — our 10% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
51%
-4.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
49%
+4.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.7pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ulm 1846 v Braunschweig — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulm 1846 EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Braunschweig EU Bookmakers 39%
-46% / -46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
0.66/2.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.72
-34% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
283 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 72%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
20.0 Crosses 14.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6

Ulm 1846 3-1 Braunschweig — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ulm 1846
3-1
AWAY Braunschweig
3.08 xG 1.01
45% Ball Possession 55%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
276 Passes 346
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
31 Box Touches 10
17 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ulm 1846 vs Braunschweig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulm 1846 beat Braunschweig 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Ulm 1846 made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Ulm 1846 had 45% of the ball to Braunschweig's 55%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 3.08 to 1.01.

What was the final score of Ulm 1846 vs Braunschweig?

Ulm 1846 3-1 Braunschweig in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulm 1846 vs Braunschweig?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ulm 1846 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ulm 1846 39%, draw 26%, Braunschweig 35%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ulm 1846), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ulm 1846) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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