Greuther Fürth 1-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.53
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.6
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.88
6+ Goals
11%
8.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.81
1/2
15%
24.45
1/X
8%
12.15
X/1
8%
6.23
X/2
9%
5.62
X/X
13%
5.21
2/1
5%
26.5
2/2
16%
3.28
2/X
9%
12.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
36%
-5.7pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.9pp
40%
Away Win
38%
+1.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.2pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greuther Fürth EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf EU Bookmakers 43%
+8% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +21%
1.60/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/1.13
+22% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
310 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 76%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
18.4 Crosses 20.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greuther Fürth
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.51 xG 1.04
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
362 Passes 356
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.04.2024 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-0 HT 0-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
12.11.2023 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 1-0 HT 0-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
18.02.2023 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 2-1 HT 1-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
14.08.2022 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-2 HT 0-1 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
23.05.2021 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 3-2 HT 0-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
22.01.2021 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-3 HT 1-2 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Greuther Fürth
1-2
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.80 xG 2.48
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 0
448 Passes 369
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
25 Box Touches 21
26 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Greuther Fürth vs Fortuna Düsseldorf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Düsseldorf nicked a narrow win over Greuther Fürth 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 30% / 40% — and on the day Fortuna Düsseldorf made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Greuther Fürth had 55% of the ball to Fortuna Düsseldorf's 45%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.80 to 2.48.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greuther Fürth had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Greuther Fürth and 1.50 for Fortuna Düsseldorf.

What was the final score of Greuther Fürth vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?

Greuther Fürth 1-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greuther Fürth vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fortuna Düsseldorf win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Greuther Fürth 30%, draw 30%, Fortuna Düsseldorf 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf) ✓ BTTS Yes
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