Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-0 Greuther Fürth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 20 Apr 2024

Fortuna Düsseldorf
1-0 HT 0-0
Greuther Fürth
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Greuther Fürth Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.53
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.84
2-3 Goals
41%
1.93
4-5 Goals
25%
2.8
6+ Goals
11%
7.57
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.88
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.7
X/1
20%
3.93
X/2
9%
11.7
X/X
6%
6.44
2/1
7%
20.45
2/2
9%
8.36
2/X
8%
16.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
61%
-6.3pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.6pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.9pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fortuna Düsseldorf v Greuther Fürth — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Greuther Fürth EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -2%
2.05/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/2.03
+6% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +0%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
470 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
24.6 Crosses 17.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Greuther Fürth Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Greuther Fürth
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.08 xG 1.64
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
368 Passes 290
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
12.11.2023 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 1-0 HT 0-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
18.02.2023 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 2-1 HT 1-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
14.08.2022 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-2 HT 0-1 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
23.05.2021 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 3-2 HT 0-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
22.01.2021 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-3 HT 1-2 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
17.02.2018 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-1 HT 0-1 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2

Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-0 Greuther Fürth — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf
1-0
AWAY Greuther Fürth
0.84 xG 0.87
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
377 Passes 570
83% Pass Accuracy 88%
14 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Greuther Fürth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Düsseldorf squeezed past Greuther Fürth 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fortuna Düsseldorf as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Fortuna Düsseldorf had 41% of the ball to Greuther Fürth's 59%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.84 to 0.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greuther Fürth led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Fortuna Düsseldorf and 2.00 for Greuther Fürth.

What was the final score of Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Greuther Fürth?

Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-0 Greuther Fürth in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Greuther Fürth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Düsseldorf win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Düsseldorf 55%, draw 22%, Greuther Fürth 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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