Kaiserslautern 1-1 Wehen Wiesbaden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 20 Apr 2024

Kaiserslautern
1-1 HT 1-0
Wehen Wiesbaden
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Kaiserslautern vs Wehen Wiesbaden Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.18
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals
26%
3.03
6+ Goals
11%
9.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.26
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.85
X/1
15%
4.24
X/2
11%
8.92
X/X
11%
5.51
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
21.85
2/2
13%
6.33
2/X
8%
14.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.85 — our 10% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
53%
-10.0pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.7pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+7.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.0pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kaiserslautern v Wehen Wiesbaden — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kaiserslautern EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Wehen Wiesbaden EU Bookmakers 26%
-6% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +1%
1.32/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.78
+2% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
329 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 74%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
25.9 Crosses 16.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3

Kaiserslautern vs Wehen Wiesbaden Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kaiserslautern
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Wehen Wiesbaden
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.25 xG 1.23
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
422 Passes 401
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
8 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.11.2023 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 2-1 HT 0-1 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
16.12.2022 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 2-0 HT 0-0 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden HAZ
22.04.2022 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 2-1 HT 1-1 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL3
20.11.2021 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 1-0 HT 0-0 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL3
30.01.2021 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 0-1 HT 0-0 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL3
05.10.2020 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 2-2 HT 2-0 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL3

Kaiserslautern 1-1 Wehen Wiesbaden — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kaiserslautern
1-1
AWAY Wehen Wiesbaden
0.70 xG 0.57
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 7
294 Passes 295
74% Pass Accuracy 71%
14 Box Touches 11
21 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kaiserslautern vs Wehen Wiesbaden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kaiserslautern and Wehen Wiesbaden couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Kaiserslautern at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Kaiserslautern had 49% of the ball to Wehen Wiesbaden's 51%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.70 to 0.57.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wehen Wiesbaden led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kaiserslautern and 1.17 for Wehen Wiesbaden.

What was the final score of Kaiserslautern vs Wehen Wiesbaden?

Kaiserslautern 1-1 Wehen Wiesbaden in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kaiserslautern vs Wehen Wiesbaden?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kaiserslautern win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kaiserslautern 43%, draw 27%, Wehen Wiesbaden 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kaiserslautern), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kaiserslautern) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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