Osnabrück 0-3 Braunschweig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.62
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
3.33
6+ Goals
11%
12.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.62 — our 27% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.0
1/2
6%
26.0
1/X
7%
12.9
X/1
13%
5.98
X/2
10%
5.27
X/X
12%
4.79
2/1
8%
29.0
2/2
20%
3.35
2/X
7%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+1.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-1.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.9pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osnabrück EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Braunschweig EU Bookmakers 43%
-15% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -18%
1.34/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.87
-26% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
349 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 75%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
16.6 Crosses 16.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osnabrück
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Braunschweig
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.21 xG 1.76
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
366 Passes 275
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.11.2023 Braunschweig Braunschweig 3-2 HT 1-1 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL2
26.03.2022 Osnabrück Osnabrück 1-1 HT 1-1 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL3
12.09.2021 Braunschweig Braunschweig 2-2 HT 0-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
11.04.2021 Osnabrück Osnabrück 0-4 HT 0-1 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
13.12.2020 Braunschweig Braunschweig 0-2 HT 0-1 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL2
07.04.2019 Osnabrück Osnabrück 1-0 HT 1-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osnabrück
0-3
AWAY Braunschweig
1.88 xG 2.05
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 2
402 Passes 217
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 22
32 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Osnabrück vs Braunschweig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Braunschweig cruised past Osnabrück 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Braunschweig made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Osnabrück had 62% of the ball to Braunschweig's 38%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.88 to 2.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Osnabrück and 1.67 for Braunschweig.

What was the final score of Osnabrück vs Braunschweig?

Osnabrück 0-3 Braunschweig in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osnabrück vs Braunschweig?

Before kick-off our model rated a Osnabrück win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Osnabrück 37%, draw 26%, Braunschweig 37%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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