Bayer Leverkusen (K) 2-1 Hoffenheim (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 27 Sep 2024

Bayer Leverkusen (K)
2-1 HT 2-0
Hoffenheim (K)
📅27/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - Women's Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Bayer Leverkusen (K) vs Hoffenheim (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.21
Over 2.5
61%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.5
No
40%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+2.3pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-2.7pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
62%
-2.9pp
40%
BTTS No
38%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bayer Leverkusen (K) v Hoffenheim (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayer Leverkusen (K) EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoffenheim (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
276 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
– Crosses 15.2
– Yellow Cards 1.9

Bayer Leverkusen (K) vs Hoffenheim (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayer Leverkusen (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Hoffenheim (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.69 xG 1.09
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 1
424 Passes 328
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
18.02.2024 Bayer Leverkusen (K) Bayer Leverkusen (K) 1-2 HT 1-1 Hoffenheim (K) Hoffenheim (K) ALKB

Bayer Leverkusen (K) 2-1 Hoffenheim (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayer Leverkusen (K)
2-1
AWAY Hoffenheim (K)
1.86 xG 1.66
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 1
267 Passes 286
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bayer Leverkusen (K) vs Hoffenheim (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayer Leverkusen (K) squeezed past Hoffenheim (K) 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bayer Leverkusen (K) as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Bayer Leverkusen (K) had 51% of the ball to Hoffenheim (K)'s 49%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.86 to 1.66.

What was the final score of Bayer Leverkusen (K) vs Hoffenheim (K)?

Bayer Leverkusen (K) 2-1 Hoffenheim (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayer Leverkusen (K) vs Hoffenheim (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayer Leverkusen (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Bayer Leverkusen (K) 41%, draw 25%, Hoffenheim (K) 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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