Deportivo Riestra 3-3 Newells Old Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
27%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
69%
1.41
Over
31%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.27
No
64%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1
39%
2-3
40%
4-5
13%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 69%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+2.8pp
33%
Draw
32%
+1.5pp
27%
Away Win
31%
-4.3pp
69%
Under 2.5
67%
+1.5pp
31%
Over 2.5
33%
-1.5pp
36%
BTTS Yes
40%
-3.5pp
64%
BTTS No
60%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Riestra EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Newells Old Boys EU Bookmakers 34%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +8%
1.57/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.24
-8% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
231 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 74%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
16.9 Crosses 16.7
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Riestra
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Newells Old Boys
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
33% Ball Possession 67%
9 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
80 Passes 265
47% Pass Accuracy 77%
16.05.2024 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra 0-1 HT 0-1 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Riestra
3-3
AWAY Newells Old Boys
1.66 xG 3.28
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 23
3 Shots on Target 11
1 Corners 2
126 Passes 338
58% Pass Accuracy 81%
30 Box Touches 30
7 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Riestra vs Newells Old Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Riestra and Newells Old Boys couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 33% / 27%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Riestra had 34% of the ball to Newells Old Boys's 66%, shots finished 10-23, expected goals 1.66 to 3.28.

What was the final score of Deportivo Riestra vs Newells Old Boys?

Deportivo Riestra 3-3 Newells Old Boys in the Argentina - Premier League on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Riestra vs Newells Old Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Riestra win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Riestra 40%, draw 33%, Newells Old Boys 27%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Riestra) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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