Boussu Dour Borinage 1-2 RWDM 47 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.48
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
51%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
3.89
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.16
6+ Goals
11%
10.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.89 — our 24% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
32%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
20%
+6.6pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.7pp
51%
Away Win
57%
-5.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.1pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boussu Dour Borinage EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY RWDM 47 EU Bookmakers 61%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.97/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.04
-5% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +37%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 80%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
23.5 Crosses 18.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boussu Dour Borinage
1-2
AWAY RWDM 47
1.05 xG 1.06
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
183 Passes 377
64% Pass Accuracy 80%
9 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Boussu Dour Borinage vs RWDM 47
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RWDM 47 edged past Boussu Dour Borinage 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had RWDM 47 as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Boussu Dour Borinage had 38% of the ball to RWDM 47's 62%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 1.05 to 1.06.

What was the final score of Boussu Dour Borinage vs RWDM 47?

Boussu Dour Borinage 1-2 RWDM 47 in the Belgium - 1st Division on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boussu Dour Borinage vs RWDM 47?

Before kick-off our model rated an RWDM 47 win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Boussu Dour Borinage 26%, draw 23%, RWDM 47 51%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RWDM 47), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (RWDM 47) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BEL2 More Belgium - 1st Division
27 Sep 2024
21:00 AS Eupen vs KRC Genk II Analysis →