Sporting Charleroi 1-1 Club Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 27 Sep 2024

Sporting Charleroi
1-1 HT 0-0
Club Brugge
📅27/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2024/2025

Sporting Charleroi vs Club Brugge Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
41%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.63
No
55%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.08
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
3.07
6+ Goals
10%
9.78
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.08 — our 26% vs market 19.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.51
1/2
10%
22.3
1/X
7%
14.0
X/1
13%
7.87
X/2
12%
4.42
X/X
10%
5.39
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.48
2/X
6%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
27%
+8.2pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.4pp
42%
Away Win
49%
-7.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
57%
-11.8pp
55%
BTTS No
43%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sporting Charleroi v Club Brugge — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Charleroi EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 54%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -19%
1.24/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.15
-23% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +5%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
247 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 80%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.7
16.2 Crosses 22.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0

Sporting Charleroi vs Club Brugge Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Charleroi
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Club Brugge
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.24 xG 1.89
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
362 Passes 437
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
27.01.2024 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-4 HT 0-3 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
16.09.2023 Club Brugge Club Brugge 4-2 HT 2-2 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
22.01.2023 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-2 HT 1-2 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
26.08.2022 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-3 HT 1-2 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
13.02.2022 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
18.09.2021 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 0-1 HT 0-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL

Sporting Charleroi 1-1 Club Brugge — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Charleroi
1-1
AWAY Club Brugge
1.64 xG 1.45
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
396 Passes 414
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
27 Box Touches 29
17 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sporting Charleroi vs Club Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Charleroi and Club Brugge shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Club Brugge at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sporting Charleroi had 49% of the ball to Club Brugge's 51%, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 1.64 to 1.45.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Brugge led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sporting Charleroi and 2.67 for Club Brugge.

What was the final score of Sporting Charleroi vs Club Brugge?

Sporting Charleroi 1-1 Club Brugge in the Belgium - Pro League on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Charleroi vs Club Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sporting Charleroi 35%, draw 24%, Club Brugge 42%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Club Brugge) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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