Wilstermann 2-0 Santa Cruz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.32
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
17%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.4
No
53%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
72%
-11.1pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.8pp
17%
Away Win
10%
+7.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
38%
+9.8pp
53%
BTTS No
62%
-9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wilstermann EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Cruz EU Bookmakers 12%
-9% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +8%
1.28/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.75
-15% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +4%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
386 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 74%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.5
20.8 Crosses 11.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wilstermann
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Santa Cruz
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.43 xG 0.73
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
269 Passes 223
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.05.2024 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 0-2 HT 0-1 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
11.11.2023 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 1-1 HT 0-1 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
14.05.2023 Wilstermann Wilstermann 1-0 HT 1-0 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
20.08.2021 Wilstermann Wilstermann 5-1 HT 2-0 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
14.12.2020 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 1-3 HT 0-1 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
14.02.2020 Wilstermann Wilstermann 0-0 HT 0-0 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wilstermann
2-0
AWAY Santa Cruz
1.52 xG 0.37
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 1
263 Passes 329
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 5
12 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wilstermann vs Santa Cruz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wilstermann got the better of Santa Cruz 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Wilstermann as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Wilstermann had 47% of the ball to Santa Cruz's 53%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 1.52 to 0.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wilstermann had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Wilstermann and 0.50 for Santa Cruz.

What was the final score of Wilstermann vs Santa Cruz?

Wilstermann 2-0 Santa Cruz in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wilstermann vs Santa Cruz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wilstermann win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Wilstermann 61%, draw 22%, Santa Cruz 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wilstermann), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wilstermann) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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