MC Alger 1-1 Paradou — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.49
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.52
Over 2.5
47%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.6
No
58%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.31
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
5.28
6+ Goals
12%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
63%
-3.9pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.5pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+4.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
62%
-9.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
38%
+9.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
34%
+7.3pp
58%
BTTS No
66%
-7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MC Alger EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Paradou EU Bookmakers 16%
+6% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +2%
2.05/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.64
+33% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / +1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
353 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 221 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MC Alger
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Paradou
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2024 MC Alger MC Alger 1-0 HT 0-0 Paradou Paradou CZYR
07.12.2023 Paradou Paradou 0-1 HT 0-1 MC Alger MC Alger CZYR
04.07.2023 Paradou Paradou 1-0 HT 1-0 MC Alger MC Alger CZYR
29.11.2022 MC Alger MC Alger 2-2 HT 0-2 Paradou Paradou CZYR
28.03.2022 Paradou Paradou 1-1 HT 0-0 MC Alger MC Alger CZYR
11.01.2022 MC Alger MC Alger 1-0 HT 0-0 Paradou Paradou CZYR
POST-MATCH MC Alger vs Paradou
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MC Alger and Paradou couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. MC Alger carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, MC Alger had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for MC Alger and 0.67 for Paradou.

What was the final score of MC Alger vs Paradou?

MC Alger 1-1 Paradou in the Algeria - 1st Division on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MC Alger vs Paradou?

Before kick-off our model rated a MC Alger win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split MC Alger 59%, draw 24%, Paradou 17%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (MC Alger), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (MC Alger) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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