Bali United 3-2 Barito Putera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Bali United win — 49%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
59%
-10.0pp
29%
Draw
23%
+6.0pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.4pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bali United EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Barito Putera EU Bookmakers 21%
-7% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -11%
1.66/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.60
-10% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
372 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bali United
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Barito Putera
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
350 Passes 248
04.03.2024 Barito Putera Barito Putera 4-3 HT 2-1 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
05.02.2023 Bali United Bali United 1-2 HT 1-1 Barito Putera Barito Putera ENDL1
18.08.2022 Barito Putera Barito Putera 1-2 HT 0-1 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
09.01.2022 Bali United Bali United 3-0 HT 1-0 Barito Putera Barito Putera ENDL1
11.09.2021 Barito Putera Barito Putera 1-2 HT 1-2 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
06.03.2020 Barito Putera Barito Putera 1-2 HT 0-1 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
POST-MATCH Bali United vs Barito Putera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bali United nicked a narrow win over Barito Putera 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bali United as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bali United had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Bali United and 1.50 for Barito Putera.

What was the final score of Bali United vs Barito Putera?

Bali United 3-2 Barito Putera in the Indonesia League 1 on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bali United vs Barito Putera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bali United win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Bali United 49%, draw 29%, Barito Putera 22%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bali United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bali United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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