Auxerre 3-0 Brest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 27 Sep 2024

Auxerre
3-0 HT 2-0
Brest
📅27/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Auxerre vs Brest Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
41%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.9
Over
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.67
No
45%
2.07
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.4
2-3
39%
1.79
4-5 ✗
25%
3.49
6+
10%
13.5
Value flag · 4-5 at 3.49 — our 25% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.23
1/2
7%
27.0
1/X
10%
12.75
X/1
10%
6.17
X/2
16%
5.2
X/X
10%
4.54
2/1
8%
31.5
2/2
18%
3.31
2/X
8%
12.55
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Auxerre v Brest — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Auxerre The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Brest The Market 43%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.60/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.85
-7% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +138%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
333 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 81%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
20.4 Crosses 22.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

Auxerre vs Brest Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Auxerre
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Brest
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.33 xG 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
342 Passes 345
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.05.2023 Brest Brest 1-0 HT 0-0 Auxerre Auxerre FR1
02.10.2022 Auxerre Auxerre 1-1 HT 0-0 Brest Brest FR1
11.02.2019 Brest Brest 1-0 HT 1-0 Auxerre Auxerre FR2
31.08.2018 Auxerre Auxerre 0-2 HT 0-0 Brest Brest FR2
09.03.2018 Auxerre Auxerre 1-2 HT 0-1 Brest Brest FR2
13.10.2017 Brest Brest 1-1 HT 1-1 Auxerre Auxerre FR2

Auxerre 3-0 Brest — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Auxerre
3-0
AWAY Brest
2.57 xG 0.80
38% Ball Possession 62%
15 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
204 Passes 418
69% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Auxerre vs Brest
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Auxerre made light work of Brest 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

A gentle 41% lean on Brest didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

Under the surface, Brest saw more of the ball, 62% to 38%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 2.57 to 0.80.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brest led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for Auxerre against 1.33 for Brest.

Auxerre vs Brest Result & Final Score

Auxerre 3-0 Brest in the France - Ligue 1 on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Auxerre vs Brest Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Brest win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Auxerre 31%, draw 28%, Brest 41%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Brest), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brest) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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