PSG 3-1 Rennes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 27 Sep 2024

PSG
3-1 HT 1-0
Rennes
📅27/09/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.45
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
25%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.23
Over Pick
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.74
No
48%
1.97
Total Goals
0-1
26%
4.54
2-3
37%
1.9
4-5
25%
2.89
6+
12%
8.31
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1.77
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
17.5
X/1
21%
3.7
X/2
10%
13.05
X/X
13%
6.67
2/1
7%
20.9
2/2
10%
9.78
2/X
6%
18.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.9 — our 7% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSG The Market 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Rennes The Market 19%
-1% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -10%
1.95/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.54
+17% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +32%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
477 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 79%
30.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
16.2 Crosses 15.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSG
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Rennes
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.76 xG 0.96
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
628 Passes 321
90% Pass Accuracy 82%
30 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.04.2024 PSG PSG 1-0 HT 1-0 Rennes Rennes FRK
25.02.2024 PSG PSG 1-1 HT 0-1 Rennes Rennes FR1
08.10.2023 Rennes Rennes 1-3 HT 0-2 PSG PSG FR1
19.03.2023 PSG PSG 0-2 HT 0-1 Rennes Rennes FR1
15.01.2023 Rennes Rennes 1-0 HT 0-0 PSG PSG FR1
11.02.2022 PSG PSG 1-0 HT 0-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSG
3-1
AWAY Rennes
3.05 xG 1.50
62% Ball Possession 38%
23 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
565 Passes 319
89% Pass Accuracy 82%
38 Box Touches 27
9 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW PSG vs Rennes
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

PSG took care of Rennes 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had PSG as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (55%) came home.

Under the surface, possession split 62% to 38% in PSG's favour, shots finished 23-12, expected goals 3.05 to 1.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSG had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for PSG against 0.83 for Rennes.

PSG vs Rennes Result & Final Score

PSG 3-1 Rennes in the France - Ligue 1 on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

PSG vs Rennes Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a PSG win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split PSG 49%, draw 26%, Rennes 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSG), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PSG) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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