Lechia Gdansk 1-1 Widzew Lodz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 27 Sep 2024

Lechia Gdansk
1-1 HT 1-0
Widzew Lodz
📅27/09/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2024/2025

Lechia Gdansk vs Widzew Lodz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
35%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.21
Over 2.5
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.52
2-3 Goals
43%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.9
6+ Goals
10%
8.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.79
1/2
9%
24.45
1/X EV+ ✓
13%
12.65
X/1
11%
6.11
X/2
11%
5.48
X/X
8%
5.36
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
15%
3.25
2/X
10%
12.55
Value flag · 1/X at 12.65 — our 13% vs market 5.0%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-1.4pp
31%
Draw
25%
+5.3pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-3.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.3pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lechia Gdansk v Widzew Lodz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lechia Gdansk EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Widzew Lodz EU Bookmakers 43%
+5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.55/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/0.97
+8% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
21.2 Crosses 25.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1

Lechia Gdansk vs Widzew Lodz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lechia Gdansk
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Widzew Lodz
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.99 xG 2.21
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
340 Passes 404
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 30
21 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
10.02.2023 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 0-0 HT 0-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
31.07.2022 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 2-3 HT 1-2 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL
15.03.2014 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 2-0 HT 1-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
11.01.2014 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 1-4 HT 1-2 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz HAZ
06.10.2013 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 4-1 HT 2-1 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL
20.05.2013 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-2 HT 1-0 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL

Lechia Gdansk 1-1 Widzew Lodz — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lechia Gdansk
1-1
AWAY Widzew Lodz
1.43 xG 2.25
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 5
263 Passes 414
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 31
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lechia Gdansk vs Widzew Lodz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lechia Gdansk and Widzew Lodz couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (34% / 31% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Lechia Gdansk had 41% of the ball to Widzew Lodz's 59%, shots finished 10-19, expected goals 1.43 to 2.25.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lechia Gdansk had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lechia Gdansk and 1.83 for Widzew Lodz.

What was the final score of Lechia Gdansk vs Widzew Lodz?

Lechia Gdansk 1-1 Widzew Lodz in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lechia Gdansk vs Widzew Lodz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Widzew Lodz win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Lechia Gdansk 34%, draw 31%, Widzew Lodz 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Widzew Lodz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Widzew Lodz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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