Fakel 0-0 Rubin Kazan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.45
Over 2.5
40%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.11
2-3 Goals
45%
1.82
4-5 Goals
14%
6.04
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.8
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.65
X/1
11%
5.81
X/2
14%
4.81
X/X
15%
3.4
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
16%
3.69
2/X
7%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.6pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.6pp
37%
Away Win
37%
-0.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
65%
-4.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
35%
+4.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.9pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fakel EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Rubin Kazan EU Bookmakers 40%
+10% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +28%
1.04/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.35
-4% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +47%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
286 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 77%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
21.6 Crosses 15.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fakel
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Rubin Kazan
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.55 xG 1.24
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
324 Passes 250
72% Pass Accuracy 68%
20 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.08.2024 Fakel Fakel 0-2 HT 0-1 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUK
26.11.2023 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 1-0 HT 1-0 Fakel Fakel RUS
25.09.2023 Fakel Fakel 0-1 HT 0-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fakel
0-0
AWAY Rubin Kazan
0.60 xG 0.59
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
176 Passes 235
61% Pass Accuracy 69%
16 Box Touches 12
23 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fakel vs Rubin Kazan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fakel and Rubin Kazan fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Fakel had 46% of the ball to Rubin Kazan's 54%, shots finished 8-5, expected goals 0.60 to 0.59.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Rubin Kazan led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Fakel and 1.33 for Rubin Kazan.

What was the final score of Fakel vs Rubin Kazan?

Fakel 0-0 Rubin Kazan in the Russia - Premier League on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fakel vs Rubin Kazan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rubin Kazan win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Fakel 35%, draw 28%, Rubin Kazan 37%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Rubin Kazan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rubin Kazan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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