Kızılyıldız 2-1 Zeleznicar Pancevo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.11
Draw
19%
7.78
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
3.17
Over 2.5
58%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.6
No
55%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
84%
-19.5pp
18%
Draw
9%
+9.1pp
16%
Away Win
6%
+10.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
28%
+14.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
72%
-14.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
34%
+10.6pp
55%
BTTS No
66%
-10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kızılyıldız EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Zeleznicar Pancevo EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
2.80/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/2.44
+35% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -15%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
432 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 75%
47.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
28.9 Crosses 14.3
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kızılyıldız
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Zeleznicar Pancevo
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.86 xG 0.61
66% Ball Possession 34%
22 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 0
480 Passes 216
84% Pass Accuracy 70%
52 Box Touches 11
29 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2024 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 3-0 HT 1-0 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo SIRP
11.11.2023 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo 1-2 HT 1-0 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kızılyıldız
2-1
AWAY Zeleznicar Pancevo
1.64 xG 0.31
67% Ball Possession 33%
15 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 0
559 Passes 248
91% Pass Accuracy 79%
38 Box Touches 14
36 Crosses 2
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kızılyıldız vs Zeleznicar Pancevo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kızılyıldız squeezed past Zeleznicar Pancevo 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kızılyıldız as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Kızılyıldız had 67% of the ball to Zeleznicar Pancevo's 33%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 1.64 to 0.31 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Kızılyıldız's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kızılyıldız had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Kızılyıldız and 0.50 for Zeleznicar Pancevo.

What was the final score of Kızılyıldız vs Zeleznicar Pancevo?

Kızılyıldız 2-1 Zeleznicar Pancevo in the Serbia - Super League on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kızılyıldız vs Zeleznicar Pancevo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kızılyıldız win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Kızılyıldız 65%, draw 18%, Zeleznicar Pancevo 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kızılyıldız), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kızılyıldız) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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