Sivasspor 1-2 Başakşehir FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 27 Sep 2024

Sivasspor
1-2 HT 0-1
Başakşehir FK
📅27/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2024/2025

Sivasspor vs Başakşehir FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
42%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.81
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.16
6+ Goals
9%
20.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.15
1/2
11%
30.5
1/X
6%
13.65
X/1
11%
5.67
X/2
15%
5.1
X/X
12%
4.2
2/1
6%
33.0
2/2
16%
3.58
2/X
8%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-2.2pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
42%
Away Win
37%
+4.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sivasspor v Başakşehir FK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sivasspor EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Başakşehir FK EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +21%
1.40/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.21
-15% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +30%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
283 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 82%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
18.2 Crosses 15.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Sivasspor vs Başakşehir FK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sivasspor
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Başakşehir FK
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.03 xG 1.37
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
295 Passes 482
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
17 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.05.2024 Sivasspor Sivasspor 0-1 HT 0-1 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
19.12.2023 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 3-1 HT 1-1 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
09.04.2023 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
10.10.2022 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 0-2 HT 0-1 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
10.04.2022 Sivasspor Sivasspor 0-2 HT 0-1 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
20.11.2021 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 2-1 HT 2-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL

Sivasspor 1-2 Başakşehir FK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sivasspor
1-2
AWAY Başakşehir FK
1.76 xG 2.07
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
342 Passes 308
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sivasspor vs Başakşehir FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Başakşehir FK squeezed past Sivasspor 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Başakşehir FK as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sivasspor had 52% of the ball to Başakşehir FK's 48%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 1.76 to 2.07.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Başakşehir FK led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sivasspor and 1.50 for Başakşehir FK.

What was the final score of Sivasspor vs Başakşehir FK?

Sivasspor 1-2 Başakşehir FK in the Turkey - Super League on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sivasspor vs Başakşehir FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Başakşehir FK win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sivasspor 32%, draw 26%, Başakşehir FK 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Başakşehir FK) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Başakşehir FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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