Forest Green Rovers 1-1 York City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.95
Over
41%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
32%
3.39
2-3
42%
1.75
4-5
19%
3.18
6+
7%
11.35
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.39 — our 32% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.32
1/2
8%
29.0
1/X
12%
12.5
X/1
13%
5.4
X/2
13%
6.28
X/X
13%
4.76
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
11%
4.2
2/X
6%
12.75
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forest Green Rovers The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY York City The Market 37%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
1.41 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.39
1.08 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.19
Average Attackvs comparable teams Average
Strong Defensevs comparable teams Strong
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
93 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 125 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forest Green Rovers
2W-3D-1L
AWAY York City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Passes 0
2 Yellow Cards 1
08.03.2025 York City York City 1-1 HT 0-0 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL
16.11.2024 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 2-0 HT 0-0 York City York City İBSL
29.04.2017 York City York City 2-2 HT 1-2 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL
20.08.2016 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 2-1 HT 1-1 York City York City İBSL
28.04.2012 York City York City 1-0 HT 0-0 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL
26.11.2011 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 1-1 HT 0-0 York City York City İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forest Green Rovers
1-1
AWAY York City
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Forest Green Rovers vs York City
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Forest Green Rovers and York City finished all square at 1-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (59%) came home.

Under the surface, Forest Green Rovers had 44% of the ball to York City's 56%, shots finished 13-13.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forest Green Rovers had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Forest Green Rovers and 1.00 for York City.

Forest Green Rovers vs York City Result & Final Score

Forest Green Rovers 1-1 York City in the England - National League on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Forest Green Rovers vs York City Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Forest Green Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Forest Green Rovers 37%, draw 31%, York City 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Forest Green Rovers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Forest Green Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5
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