York City 1-1 Forest Green Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.71
Over
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.84
No
52%
1.84
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.68
2-3
40%
1.71
4-5
19%
3.9
6+
10%
18.3
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.68 — our 31% vs market 29.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.01
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.3
X/1
15%
4.75
X/2
12%
6.79
X/X
16%
4.25
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
14%
5.22
2/X
7%
14.0
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME York City The Market 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Forest Green Rovers The Market 32%
Weak Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Weak Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
1.30 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.37
1.38 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.07
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Strong
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Great
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
248 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 183 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME York City
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Forest Green Rovers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
0 Passes 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
16.11.2024 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 2-0 HT 0-0 York City York City İBSL
29.04.2017 York City York City 2-2 HT 1-2 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL
20.08.2016 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 2-1 HT 1-1 York City York City İBSL
28.04.2012 York City York City 1-0 HT 0-0 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL
26.11.2011 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 1-1 HT 0-0 York City York City İBSL
22.01.2011 York City York City 2-1 HT 0-0 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME York City
1-1
AWAY Forest Green Rovers
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
1 Passes 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW York City vs Forest Green Rovers
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

a 1-1 draw left York City and Forest Green Rovers with a point apiece. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was York City at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The market had leaned harder still (2.09, ~48%); nobody's numbers saw this one coming. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

The match data tells the story: possession split 62% to 38% in York City's favour, shots finished 13-11.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for York City against 1.33 for Forest Green Rovers.

York City vs Forest Green Rovers Result & Final Score

York City 1-1 Forest Green Rovers in the England - National League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

York City vs Forest Green Rovers Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a York City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split York City 41%, draw 28%, Forest Green Rovers 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (York City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (York City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İBSL More England - National League
8 Mar 2025
15:30 Barnet vs Dagenham & Redbridge Analysis →
18:00 Eastleigh vs Hartlepool United Analysis →
18:00 AFC Fylde vs Braintree Town Analysis →
18:00 Maidenhead United vs Sutton United Analysis →
18:00 Rochdale vs Wealdstone Analysis →
18:00 Solihull Moors vs Ebbsfleet United Analysis →