Eastleigh 1-1 Hartlepool United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.04
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.46
6+ Goals
11%
13.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 29% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.45
1/2
7%
30.5
1/X
8%
12.8
X/1
9%
5.36
X/2
11%
6.09
X/X
13%
4.49
2/1
9%
27.5
2/2
16%
4.21
2/X
7%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-1.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.3pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastleigh EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartlepool United EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -7%
1.77/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.23
+24% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
88 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 104 · 90%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastleigh
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Hartlepool United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.11.2024 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 0-0 HT 0-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
23.03.2024 Eastleigh Eastleigh 1-1 HT 0-1 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
07.10.2023 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 3-1 HT 1-1 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
13.03.2021 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 0-0 HT 0-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
16.02.2021 Eastleigh Eastleigh 2-1 HT 2-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
14.11.2020 Eastleigh Eastleigh 0-0 HT 0-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastleigh
1-1
AWAY Hartlepool United
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
1 Passes 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Eastleigh vs Hartlepool United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastleigh and Hartlepool United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Eastleigh had 44% of the ball to Hartlepool United's 56%, shots finished 6-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Eastleigh and 0.83 for Hartlepool United.

What was the final score of Eastleigh vs Hartlepool United?

Eastleigh 1-1 Hartlepool United in the England - National League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastleigh vs Hartlepool United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eastleigh win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Eastleigh 38%, draw 28%, Hartlepool United 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Eastleigh) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Eastleigh) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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