Eastleigh 1-1 Hartlepool United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 23 Mar 2024

Eastleigh
1-1 HT 0-1
Hartlepool United
📅23/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - National League – 2023/2024

Eastleigh vs Hartlepool United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.32
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
44%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.23
2-3 Goals
42%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
3.01
6+ Goals
12%
9.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.33
1/2
6%
22.3
1/X
8%
13.7
X/1
11%
7.76
X/2
12%
4.53
X/X
8%
5.4
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
34.5
2/2
26%
2.52
2/X
8%
13.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.5 — our 7% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+4.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.7pp
44%
Away Win
49%
-5.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.3pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Eastleigh v Hartlepool United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastleigh EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartlepool United EU Bookmakers 54%
+13% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.45/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/2.01
+14% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -42%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
233 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.1

Eastleigh vs Hartlepool United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastleigh
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Hartlepool United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.10.2023 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 3-1 HT 1-1 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
13.03.2021 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 0-0 HT 0-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
16.02.2021 Eastleigh Eastleigh 2-1 HT 2-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
14.11.2020 Eastleigh Eastleigh 0-0 HT 0-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
07.01.2020 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 2-1 HT 0-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
28.09.2019 Eastleigh Eastleigh 1-1 HT 0-1 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL

Eastleigh 1-1 Hartlepool United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastleigh
1-1
AWAY Hartlepool United
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Eastleigh vs Hartlepool United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastleigh and Hartlepool United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Hartlepool United at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Eastleigh had 52% of the ball to Hartlepool United's 48%, shots finished 14-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hartlepool United led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Eastleigh and 1.17 for Hartlepool United.

What was the final score of Eastleigh vs Hartlepool United?

Eastleigh 1-1 Hartlepool United in the England - National League on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastleigh vs Hartlepool United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hartlepool United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Eastleigh 31%, draw 25%, Hartlepool United 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hartlepool United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hartlepool United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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