Altrincham 2-3 Gateshead — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
40%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.49
No
49%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.62
2-3 Goals
41%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.86
6+ Goals
11%
8.13
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.62 — our 25% vs market 16.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.63
1/2
7%
24.85
1/X
5%
12.3
X/1
13%
6.0
X/2
17%
5.74
X/X
11%
5.29
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
15%
3.4
2/X
7%
12.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.2pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.1pp
40%
Away Win
38%
+2.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
63%
-11.9pp
49%
BTTS No
37%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Altrincham EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Gateshead EU Bookmakers 42%
+2% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +6%
1.86/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.11/1.45
+35% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
364 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Altrincham
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Gateshead
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.10.2023 Gateshead Gateshead 0-2 HT 0-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
10.04.2023 Altrincham Altrincham 0-1 HT 0-1 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
18.10.2022 Gateshead Gateshead 2-1 HT 2-1 Altrincham Altrincham FAK
15.10.2022 Altrincham Altrincham 2-2 HT 1-2 Gateshead Gateshead FAK
04.10.2022 Gateshead Gateshead 1-3 HT 1-2 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
16.11.2021 Altrincham Altrincham 2-3 HT 1-1 Gateshead Gateshead FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Altrincham
2-3
AWAY Gateshead
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Altrincham vs Gateshead
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gateshead edged past Altrincham 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 22% / 40%) promised a tight game; Gateshead found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Altrincham had 56% of the ball to Gateshead's 44%, shots finished 9-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gateshead led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Altrincham and 1.50 for Gateshead.

What was the final score of Altrincham vs Gateshead?

Altrincham 2-3 Gateshead in the England - National League on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Altrincham vs Gateshead?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gateshead win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Altrincham 38%, draw 22%, Gateshead 40%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gateshead), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gateshead) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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