Wealdstone 1-1 Kidderminster Harriers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.16
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.71
6+ Goals
11%
15.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 29% vs market 26.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.0
1/2
9%
28.5
1/X
11%
13.35
X/1
16%
5.72
X/2
10%
5.21
X/X
7%
4.5
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
16%
3.52
2/X
9%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
35%
+2.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-2.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.7pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wealdstone EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Kidderminster Harriers EU Bookmakers 42%
+18% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -32%
1.67/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.72
+21% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wealdstone
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Kidderminster Harriers
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
4 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.10.2023 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 1-0 HT 0-0 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wealdstone
1-1
AWAY Kidderminster Harriers
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Wealdstone vs Kidderminster Harriers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wealdstone and Kidderminster Harriers shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Wealdstone had 53% of the ball to Kidderminster Harriers's 47%, shots finished 14-11.

What was the final score of Wealdstone vs Kidderminster Harriers?

Wealdstone 1-1 Kidderminster Harriers in the England - National League on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wealdstone vs Kidderminster Harriers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wealdstone win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Wealdstone 38%, draw 27%, Kidderminster Harriers 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Wealdstone), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wealdstone) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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