Aldershot Town 1-1 Solihull Moors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.64
2-3 Goals
43%
1.91
4-5 Goals
22%
2.86
6+ Goals
12%
8.08
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.38
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
17%
4.52
X/2
7%
8.39
X/X
7%
5.59
2/1
6%
21.4
2/2
15%
5.64
2/X EV+ ✗
11%
13.55
Value flag · 2/X at 13.55 — our 11% vs market 4.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-2.8pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+2.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.2pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aldershot Town EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Solihull Moors EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +21%
1.81/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.72
+11% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -11%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
356 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aldershot Town
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Solihull Moors
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.10.2023 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors 0-1 HT 0-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
17.01.2023 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors 1-2 HT 0-2 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
06.08.2022 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 1-4 HT 1-2 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors İBSL
23.04.2022 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors 2-1 HT 1-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
11.09.2021 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 1-2 HT 1-1 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors İBSL
27.03.2021 Solihull Moors Solihull Moors 1-0 HT 1-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aldershot Town
1-1
AWAY Solihull Moors
57% Ball Possession 43%
21 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Aldershot Town vs Solihull Moors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aldershot Town and Solihull Moors shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Aldershot Town at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Aldershot Town had 57% of the ball to Solihull Moors's 43%, shots finished 21-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Solihull Moors led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Aldershot Town and 1.67 for Solihull Moors.

What was the final score of Aldershot Town vs Solihull Moors?

Aldershot Town 1-1 Solihull Moors in the England - National League on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aldershot Town vs Solihull Moors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aldershot Town win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Aldershot Town 48%, draw 25%, Solihull Moors 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aldershot Town), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aldershot Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İBSL More England - National League
23 Mar 2024
18:00 Southend United vs Woking Analysis →
18:00 Bromley vs York City Analysis →
18:00 Dagenham & Redbridge vs Oldham Athletic Analysis →
18:00 Rochdale vs Maidenhead United Analysis →
18:00 Altrincham vs Gateshead Analysis →
18:00 Wealdstone vs Kidderminster Harriers Analysis →