Maidenhead United 0-1 Sutton United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.06
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.44
6+ Goals
9%
13.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.06 — our 31% vs market 25.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.94
1/2
6%
25.0
1/X
8%
13.75
X/1
12%
6.77
X/2
18%
4.86
X/X
13%
4.65
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
17%
2.98
2/X
8%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
41%
Away Win
44%
-2.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.8pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maidenhead United EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Sutton United EU Bookmakers 48%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +12%
1.18/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/0.81
-8% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +53%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
147 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 139 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maidenhead United
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Sutton United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
42% Ball Possession 58%
4 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
0 Passes 1
2 Yellow Cards 0
16.11.2024 Sutton United Sutton United 1-0 HT 1-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
15.05.2021 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 0-3 HT 0-0 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
03.10.2020 Sutton United Sutton United 3-0 HT 2-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
31.08.2019 Sutton United Sutton United 0-3 HT 0-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
09.03.2019 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 1-0 HT 0-0 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
24.11.2018 Sutton United Sutton United 0-1 HT 0-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maidenhead United
0-1
AWAY Sutton United
54% Ball Possession 46%
5 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
0 Passes 0
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Maidenhead United vs Sutton United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sutton United edged past Maidenhead United 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sutton United as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Maidenhead United had 54% of the ball to Sutton United's 46%, shots finished 5-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Maidenhead United and 1.17 for Sutton United.

What was the final score of Maidenhead United vs Sutton United?

Maidenhead United 0-1 Sutton United in the England - National League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maidenhead United vs Sutton United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sutton United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Maidenhead United 31%, draw 28%, Sutton United 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sutton United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sutton United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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