Sutton United 1-0 Maidenhead United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 16 Nov 2024

Sutton United
1-0 HT 1-0
Maidenhead United
📅16/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
England - National League – 2024/2025

Sutton United vs Maidenhead United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.82
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.92
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
3.21
6+ Goals
10%
10.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.92 — our 26% vs market 20.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.47
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.65
X/1
15%
4.42
X/2
10%
8.23
X/X
13%
5.26
2/1
7%
23.0
2/2
12%
5.9
2/X
8%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
51%
-9.5pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.8pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.4pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sutton United v Maidenhead United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sutton United EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Maidenhead United EU Bookmakers 28%
+1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -16%
1.62/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.67
+1% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
231 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9

Sutton United vs Maidenhead United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sutton United
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Maidenhead United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.05.2021 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 0-3 HT 0-0 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
03.10.2020 Sutton United Sutton United 3-0 HT 2-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
31.08.2019 Sutton United Sutton United 0-3 HT 0-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
09.03.2019 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 1-0 HT 0-0 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
24.11.2018 Sutton United Sutton United 0-1 HT 0-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
17.04.2018 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 2-1 HT 2-0 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL

Sutton United 1-0 Maidenhead United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sutton United
1-0
AWAY Maidenhead United
61% Ball Possession 39%
8 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 5
1 Passes 0
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sutton United vs Maidenhead United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sutton United squeezed past Maidenhead United 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sutton United as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Sutton United had 61% of the ball to Maidenhead United's 39%, shots finished 8-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maidenhead United led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sutton United and 1.17 for Maidenhead United.

What was the final score of Sutton United vs Maidenhead United?

Sutton United 1-0 Maidenhead United in the England - National League on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sutton United vs Maidenhead United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sutton United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sutton United 41%, draw 30%, Maidenhead United 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sutton United), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sutton United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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