Oldham Athletic 4-0 Tamworth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.49
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
26%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.38
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.57
6+ Goals
12%
14.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 28% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1.9
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
18.5
X/1
19%
3.53
X/2
6%
12.15
X/X
10%
5.75
2/1
8%
23.85
2/2
12%
10.15
2/X
7%
19.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
63%
-14.5pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.1pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+10.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oldham Athletic EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Tamworth EU Bookmakers 19%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -25%
1.49/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/2.02
-21% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
400 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oldham Athletic
4-0
AWAY Tamworth
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 3
2 Passes 0
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Oldham Athletic vs Tamworth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oldham Athletic cruised past Tamworth 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Oldham Athletic as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Oldham Athletic had 59% of the ball to Tamworth's 41%, shots finished 10-5.

What was the final score of Oldham Athletic vs Tamworth?

Oldham Athletic 4-0 Tamworth in the England - National League on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oldham Athletic vs Tamworth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oldham Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Oldham Athletic 48%, draw 25%, Tamworth 26%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oldham Athletic), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Oldham Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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