Wealdstone 2-0 Rochdale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.97
Over 2.5
45%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.71
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
19%
3.33
6+ Goals
9%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.71 — our 31% vs market 22.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.78
1/2
7%
24.3
1/X
5%
13.9
X/1
6%
6.79
X/2
15%
4.73
X/X
14%
5.12
2/1
11%
33.0
2/2
20%
2.89
2/X
10%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-2.5pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.4pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-2.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.2pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wealdstone EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Rochdale EU Bookmakers 49%
+8% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.43/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.21/1.34
+11% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
180 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 192 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wealdstone
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Rochdale
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 1
27.02.2024 Rochdale Rochdale 3-0 HT 3-0 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
11.11.2023 Wealdstone Wealdstone 3-2 HT 1-1 Rochdale Rochdale İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wealdstone
2-0
AWAY Rochdale
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 8
2 Passes 0
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wealdstone vs Rochdale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wealdstone beat Rochdale 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Rochdale at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Wealdstone had 42% of the ball to Rochdale's 58%, shots finished 6-6.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Wealdstone and 2.50 for Rochdale.

What was the final score of Wealdstone vs Rochdale?

Wealdstone 2-0 Rochdale in the England - National League on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wealdstone vs Rochdale?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rochdale win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Wealdstone 28%, draw 29%, Rochdale 43%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Rochdale) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rochdale) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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