Rochdale 3-0 Wealdstone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 27 Feb 2024

📅27/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.18
Over 2.5
45%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.55
No
56%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.34
2-3 Goals
39%
1.88
4-5 Goals
22%
2.97
6+ Goals
9%
8.92
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.34 — our 30% vs market 18.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.86
1/2
7%
30.0
1/X
8%
12.85
X/1
16%
4.94
X/2
10%
6.81
X/X
11%
5.35
2/1
7%
23.15
2/2
14%
4.46
2/X
7%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.1pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
42%
+13.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
58%
-13.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
60%
-16.0pp
56%
BTTS No
40%
+16.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rochdale EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Wealdstone EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -9%
1.50/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.51
-3% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
347 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rochdale
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Wealdstone
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
11.11.2023 Wealdstone Wealdstone 3-2 HT 1-1 Rochdale Rochdale İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rochdale
3-0
AWAY Wealdstone
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rochdale vs Wealdstone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rochdale swept aside Wealdstone 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rochdale as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Rochdale had 56% of the ball to Wealdstone's 44%, shots finished 18-7.

What was the final score of Rochdale vs Wealdstone?

Rochdale 3-0 Wealdstone in the England - National League on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rochdale vs Wealdstone?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rochdale win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Rochdale 42%, draw 26%, Wealdstone 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rochdale), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rochdale) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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