Eastleigh 1-2 Oldham Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 27 Feb 2024

📅27/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.93
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.15
6+ Goals
9%
10.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.93 — our 29% vs market 20.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.88
1/2
10%
25.5
1/X
10%
13.05
X/1
10%
5.96
X/2
10%
5.31
X/X
12%
5.08
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
17%
3.31
2/X
5%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+1.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-2.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.2pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastleigh EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Oldham Athletic EU Bookmakers 43%
+10% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +10%
1.48/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.43
+7% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
288 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastleigh
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Oldham Athletic
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
11.11.2023 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 1-1 HT 0-1 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
11.03.2023 Eastleigh Eastleigh 1-0 HT 0-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
17.09.2022 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 3-2 HT 1-2 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
POST-MATCH Eastleigh vs Oldham Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oldham Athletic edged past Eastleigh 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Oldham Athletic made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Eastleigh and 1.33 for Oldham Athletic.

What was the final score of Eastleigh vs Oldham Athletic?

Eastleigh 1-2 Oldham Athletic in the England - National League on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastleigh vs Oldham Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eastleigh win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Eastleigh 37%, draw 27%, Oldham Athletic 37%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/27/37) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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