Barnet 0-2 Chesterfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 27 Feb 2024

📅27/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.61
2-3 Goals
42%
1.9
4-5 Goals
22%
2.87
6+ Goals
11%
8.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.24
1/2
8%
23.15
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
9%
6.68
X/2
19%
5.13
X/X
11%
5.44
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
14%
2.93
2/X
8%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.3pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.0pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barnet EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Chesterfield EU Bookmakers 48%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -6%
1.23/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.28
-6% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barnet
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Chesterfield
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.11.2023 Chesterfield Chesterfield 4-2 HT 0-0 Barnet Barnet İBSL
28.01.2023 Barnet Barnet 3-0 HT 1-0 Chesterfield Chesterfield İBSL
26.08.2022 Chesterfield Chesterfield 3-1 HT 2-1 Barnet Barnet İBSL
15.01.2022 Barnet Barnet 1-4 HT 0-0 Chesterfield Chesterfield İBSL
14.09.2021 Chesterfield Chesterfield 4-2 HT 2-2 Barnet Barnet İBSL
20.03.2021 Barnet Barnet 0-2 HT 0-1 Chesterfield Chesterfield İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barnet
0-2
AWAY Chesterfield
57% Ball Possession 43%
7 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Barnet vs Chesterfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chesterfield got the better of Barnet 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and on the day Chesterfield made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Barnet had 57% of the ball to Chesterfield's 43%, shots finished 7-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chesterfield led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Barnet and 2.83 for Chesterfield.

What was the final score of Barnet vs Chesterfield?

Barnet 0-2 Chesterfield in the England - National League on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barnet vs Chesterfield?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chesterfield win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Barnet 33%, draw 27%, Chesterfield 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chesterfield) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chesterfield) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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