Southend United 2-1 Altrincham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 27 Feb 2024

Southend United
2-1 HT 2-1
Altrincham
📅27/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - National League – 2023/2024

Southend United vs Altrincham Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.51
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.4
6+ Goals
10%
12.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.41
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.3
X/1
14%
4.16
X/2
12%
8.2
X/X
11%
5.08
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
23.15
2/2
11%
6.16
2/X
6%
14.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.15 — our 9% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-5.6pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.1pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Southend United v Altrincham — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southend United EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Altrincham EU Bookmakers 27%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.06/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.77
+28% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
331 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8

Southend United vs Altrincham Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southend United
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Altrincham
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
11.11.2023 Altrincham Altrincham 2-0 HT 0-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
25.03.2023 Altrincham Altrincham 1-0 HT 0-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
03.12.2022 Southend United Southend United 2-2 HT 2-1 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
19.03.2022 Southend United Southend United 2-0 HT 2-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
27.11.2021 Altrincham Altrincham 1-2 HT 0-2 Southend United Southend United İBSL

Southend United 2-1 Altrincham — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southend United
2-1
AWAY Altrincham
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Southend United vs Altrincham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southend United nicked a narrow win over Altrincham 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Southend United as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Southend United had 59% of the ball to Altrincham's 41%, shots finished 18-8.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Southend United and 1.20 for Altrincham.

What was the final score of Southend United vs Altrincham?

Southend United 2-1 Altrincham in the England - National League on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southend United vs Altrincham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Southend United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Southend United 46%, draw 25%, Altrincham 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Southend United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Southend United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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