Woking 3-2 Gateshead — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 27 Feb 2024

📅27/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.97
Over 2.5
44%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.63
No
54%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.7
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
3.28
6+ Goals
9%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.7 — our 31% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.65
1/2
8%
24.85
1/X
9%
13.05
X/1
9%
6.75
X/2
19%
4.88
X/X
9%
4.84
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
14%
2.94
2/X
8%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-2.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
47%
+9.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
53%
-9.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
57%
-11.1pp
54%
BTTS No
43%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Woking EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Gateshead EU Bookmakers 48%
-3% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.12/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/1.30
-15% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 447 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Woking
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Gateshead
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2023 Gateshead Gateshead 1-3 HT 1-0 Woking Woking İBSL
22.04.2023 Woking Woking 2-1 HT 2-0 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
22.10.2022 Gateshead Gateshead 1-3 HT 0-2 Woking Woking İBSL
23.01.2018 Gateshead Gateshead 1-1 HT 0-0 Woking Woking İBSL
05.08.2017 Woking Woking 2-1 HT 2-1 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
18.03.2017 Gateshead Gateshead 2-1 HT 0-1 Woking Woking İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Woking
3-2
AWAY Gateshead
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Woking vs Gateshead
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Woking nicked a narrow win over Gateshead 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Gateshead at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Woking had 45% of the ball to Gateshead's 55%, shots finished 12-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Woking had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Woking and 1.17 for Gateshead.

What was the final score of Woking vs Gateshead?

Woking 3-2 Gateshead in the England - National League on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Woking vs Gateshead?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gateshead win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Woking 33%, draw 26%, Gateshead 41%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gateshead) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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