Gateshead 2-2 Aldershot Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.6
2-3 Goals
42%
1.92
4-5 Goals
25%
2.92
6+ Goals
10%
8.41
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.88
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.75
X/1
17%
3.84
X/2
7%
12.0
X/X
10%
6.54
2/1
7%
20.9
2/2
10%
8.81
2/X
6%
17.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
62%
-8.7pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.5pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+6.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.7pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gateshead EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Aldershot Town EU Bookmakers 21%
-8% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +13%
2.09/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.84
+12% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -5%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gateshead
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Aldershot Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.04.2024 Gateshead Gateshead 0-1 HT 0-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
16.09.2023 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
25.03.2023 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 2-3 HT 1-1 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
03.12.2022 Gateshead Gateshead 0-2 HT 0-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
02.03.2019 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 0-2 HT 0-0 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
27.10.2018 Gateshead Gateshead 3-0 HT 2-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gateshead
2-2
AWAY Aldershot Town
71% Ball Possession 29%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
1 Passes 0
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gateshead vs Aldershot Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gateshead and Aldershot Town couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Gateshead at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Gateshead had 71% of the ball to Aldershot Town's 29%, shots finished 12-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gateshead had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gateshead and 1.00 for Aldershot Town.

What was the final score of Gateshead vs Aldershot Town?

Gateshead 2-2 Aldershot Town in the England - National League on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gateshead vs Aldershot Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gateshead win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Gateshead 54%, draw 23%, Aldershot Town 23%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Gateshead) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gateshead) ✓ Over 2.5
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