Altrincham 2-0 Southend United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.8
Over 2.5
38%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.75
No
58%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.18
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
3.77
6+ Goals
9%
15.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 34% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.99
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
10%
13.75
X/1
20%
5.67
X/2
10%
5.26
X/X
13%
4.62
2/1
5%
31.0
2/2
16%
3.58
2/X
7%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.9pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-4.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
52%
+10.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
48%
-10.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
53%
-11.5pp
58%
BTTS No
47%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Altrincham EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Southend United EU Bookmakers 42%
+2% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
1.88/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/0.84
+37% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +58%
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Altrincham
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Southend United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
27.02.2024 Southend United Southend United 2-1 HT 2-1 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
11.11.2023 Altrincham Altrincham 2-0 HT 0-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
25.03.2023 Altrincham Altrincham 1-0 HT 0-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
03.12.2022 Southend United Southend United 2-2 HT 2-1 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
19.03.2022 Southend United Southend United 2-0 HT 2-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
27.11.2021 Altrincham Altrincham 1-2 HT 0-2 Southend United Southend United İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Altrincham
2-0
AWAY Southend United
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Passes 0
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Altrincham vs Southend United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Altrincham beat Southend United 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Altrincham made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Altrincham had 37% of the ball to Southend United's 63%, shots finished 13-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Southend United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Altrincham and 1.33 for Southend United.

What was the final score of Altrincham vs Southend United?

Altrincham 2-0 Southend United in the England - National League on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Altrincham vs Southend United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Altrincham win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Altrincham 37%, draw 29%, Southend United 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Altrincham), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Altrincham) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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