Southend United 2-1 Altrincham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.18
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
25%
3.33
6+ Goals
10%
12.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 27% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.44
1/2
7%
29.5
1/X
8%
12.9
X/1
15%
5.4
X/2
12%
6.03
X/X
12%
4.67
2/1
10%
26.5
2/2
15%
4.09
2/X
7%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-1.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.1pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southend United EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Altrincham EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +5%
1.21/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.60
-16% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
255 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southend United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Altrincham
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
0 Passes 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.11.2024 Altrincham Altrincham 2-0 HT 2-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
27.02.2024 Southend United Southend United 2-1 HT 2-1 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
11.11.2023 Altrincham Altrincham 2-0 HT 0-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
25.03.2023 Altrincham Altrincham 1-0 HT 0-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
03.12.2022 Southend United Southend United 2-2 HT 2-1 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
19.03.2022 Southend United Southend United 2-0 HT 2-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southend United
2-1
AWAY Altrincham
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
2 Passes 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Southend United vs Altrincham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southend United edged past Altrincham 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Southend United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Southend United had 47% of the ball to Altrincham's 53%, shots finished 11-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Altrincham led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Southend United and 1.33 for Altrincham.

What was the final score of Southend United vs Altrincham?

Southend United 2-1 Altrincham in the England - National League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southend United vs Altrincham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Southend United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Southend United 38%, draw 28%, Altrincham 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Southend United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Southend United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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