Rochdale 4-1 Wealdstone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.85
No
57%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.24
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.28
6+ Goals
8%
12.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 28% vs market 23.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.06
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.9
X/1
14%
4.08
X/2
8%
10.3
X/X
13%
5.27
2/1
6%
23.0
2/2
13%
8.47
2/X
7%
16.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
58%
-6.7pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.0pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+6.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.6pp
57%
BTTS No
50%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rochdale EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Wealdstone EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
1.88/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.90
+7% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
212 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 176 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rochdale
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Wealdstone
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
0 Passes 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.11.2024 Wealdstone Wealdstone 2-0 HT 0-0 Rochdale Rochdale İBSL
27.02.2024 Rochdale Rochdale 3-0 HT 3-0 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
11.11.2023 Wealdstone Wealdstone 3-2 HT 1-1 Rochdale Rochdale İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rochdale
4-1
AWAY Wealdstone
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 2
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
2 Passes 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rochdale vs Wealdstone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rochdale ran out comfortable winners over Wealdstone 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rochdale as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rochdale had 58% of the ball to Wealdstone's 42%, shots finished 15-2.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Wealdstone led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Rochdale and 1.67 for Wealdstone.

What was the final score of Rochdale vs Wealdstone?

Rochdale 4-1 Wealdstone in the England - National League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rochdale vs Wealdstone?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rochdale win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Rochdale 51%, draw 24%, Wealdstone 25%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rochdale) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rochdale) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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