Wrexham 1-1 Derby County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 27 Sep 2025

Wrexham
1 - 1 HT 0 - 0
Derby County
📅27/09/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2025/2026

Wrexham vs Derby County Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.68
Over
46%
1.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.68
2-3
46%
1.74
4-5
21%
4.07
6+
4%
19.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.98
1/2
2%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.65
X/1
16%
4.65
X/2
11%
6.79
X/X
18%
4.26
2/1
3%
27.5
2/2
15%
5.32
2/X
5%
14.4
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Wrexham v Derby County — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Wrexham The Market 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Derby County The Market 31%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.23 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.01
1.31 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.57
Weak Attack Strength Average
Bad Defense Strength Weak
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
335 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
41 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18
39 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2

Wrexham vs Derby County Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wrexham
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Derby County
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
The Meetings
06.01.2007 Derby County Derby County 3-1 HT 1-0 Wrexham Wrexham FAK

Wrexham 1-1 Derby County — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wrexham
1 - 1
AWAY Derby County
0.89 xG 0.64
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
376 Passes 292
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 18
26 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 5
REVIEW Wrexham vs Derby County
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Wrexham and Derby County shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We leaned Wrexham at 44% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 46% for over 2.5, 51% on both teams scoring.

The match data tells the story: Wrexham had 54% of the ball to Derby County's 46%, shots finished 10-5, expected goals 0.89 to 0.64.

Wrexham vs Derby County Result & Final Score

Wrexham 1 - 1 Derby County in the England - Championship on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Wrexham vs Derby County Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Wrexham win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Wrexham 44%, draw 28%, Derby County 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wrexham) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wrexham) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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