Southampton vs Middlesbrough Prediction — Model Probabilities
Southampton v Middlesbrough — Team-Based Signals
Southampton vs Middlesbrough Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Southampton 1-1 Middlesbrough — Actual Match Statistics
Southampton and Middlesbrough shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals call finished the job: both teams to score (56%) landed.
On the day, Southampton had 55% of the ball to Middlesbrough's 45%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 0.85 to 0.28.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Southampton had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Southampton and 1.00 for Middlesbrough.
Southampton vs Middlesbrough Result & Final Score
Southampton 1 - 1 Middlesbrough in the England - Championship on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Southampton vs Middlesbrough Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Southampton win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Southampton 40%, draw 28%, Middlesbrough 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Southampton), Over 2.5 went the other way.