Stocksund 2-2 Gefle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.08
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
47%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.53
No
39%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
29%
+4.5pp
19%
Draw
24%
-4.6pp
47%
Away Win
47%
+0.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.0pp
61%
BTTS Yes
61%
-0.4pp
39%
BTTS No
39%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stocksund EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Gefle EU Bookmakers 51%
-1% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.57/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.61
+9% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
352 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stocksund
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Gefle
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.05.2025 Gefle Gefle 1-2 HT 1-1 Stocksund Stocksund İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stocksund
2-2
AWAY Gefle
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stocksund vs Gefle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stocksund and Gefle couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Gefle at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Stocksund had 54% of the ball to Gefle's 46%, shots finished 15-13.

What was the final score of Stocksund vs Gefle?

Stocksund 2-2 Gefle in the Sweden - 1st Division on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stocksund vs Gefle?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gefle win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Stocksund 33%, draw 19%, Gefle 47%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gefle) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gefle) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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