Smedby AIS 1-0 Farsta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 27 Sep 2025

Smedby AIS
1-0 HT 1-0
Farsta
📅27/09/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland – 2025

Smedby AIS vs Farsta Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
38%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.39
No
49%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+6.0pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.8pp
38%
Away Win
45%
-6.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
68%
-16.4pp
49%
BTTS No
32%
+16.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Smedby AIS v Farsta — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Smedby AIS EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Farsta EU Bookmakers 49%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.57/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/0.76
+1% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% / +100%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
298 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards –

Smedby AIS vs Farsta Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Smedby AIS
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Farsta
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 4.50
The Meetings
29.05.2025 Farsta Farsta 2-1 HT 1-1 Smedby AIS Smedby AIS İSÇ4
06.05.2023 Farsta Farsta 7-2 HT 2-2 Smedby AIS Smedby AIS İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Smedby AIS vs Farsta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Smedby AIS edged past Farsta 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 38% — and on the day Smedby AIS made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Farsta led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Smedby AIS and 4.50 for Farsta.

What was the final score of Smedby AIS vs Farsta?

Smedby AIS 1-0 Farsta in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Smedby AIS vs Farsta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Smedby AIS win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Smedby AIS 38%, draw 24%, Farsta 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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