Vastra Frolunda IF 5-1 Astrio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.57
Draw
19%
3.64
Away
49%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.35
No
45%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
35%
-2.8pp
19%
Draw
24%
-5.5pp
49%
Away Win
41%
+8.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
70%
-15.4pp
45%
BTTS No
30%
+15.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vastra Frolunda IF EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Astrio EU Bookmakers 45%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.99/2.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.26
+16% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +28%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vastra Frolunda IF
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Astrio
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
38% Ball Possession 62%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
06.06.2025 Astrio Astrio 1-1 HT 0-0 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF İSÇ4
06.10.2024 Astrio Astrio 5-1 HT 4-0 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF İSÇ4
20.06.2024 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF 4-3 HT 3-1 Astrio Astrio İSÇ4
23.09.2023 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF 1-0 HT 1-0 Astrio Astrio İSÇ4
03.06.2023 Astrio Astrio 0-1 HT 0-1 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF İSÇ4
17.09.2022 Astrio Astrio 4-0 HT 1-0 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vastra Frolunda IF
5-1
AWAY Astrio
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vastra Frolunda IF vs Astrio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vastra Frolunda IF ran out comfortable winners over Astrio 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Astrio at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Vastra Frolunda IF had 47% of the ball to Astrio's 53%, shots finished 11-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vastra Frolunda IF had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Vastra Frolunda IF and 2.17 for Astrio.

What was the final score of Vastra Frolunda IF vs Astrio?

Vastra Frolunda IF 5-1 Astrio in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vastra Frolunda IF vs Astrio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Astrio win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Vastra Frolunda IF 32%, draw 19%, Astrio 49%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Astrio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Astrio) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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