Vastra Frolunda IF 4-3 Astrio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 20 Jun 2024

📅20/06/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
17%
3.54
Away
39%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.29
Over 2.5
63%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.6pp
17%
Draw
25%
-7.5pp
39%
Away Win
30%
+9.0pp
37%
Under 2.5
40%
-2.8pp
63%
Over 2.5
60%
+2.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.2pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vastra Frolunda IF EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Astrio EU Bookmakers 33%
+18% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
2.09/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.47
+9% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +28%
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
362 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vastra Frolunda IF
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Astrio
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 2
23.09.2023 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF 1-0 HT 1-0 Astrio Astrio İSÇ4
03.06.2023 Astrio Astrio 0-1 HT 0-1 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF İSÇ4
17.09.2022 Astrio Astrio 4-0 HT 1-0 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF İSÇ4
08.09.2021 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF 5-3 HT 3-1 Astrio Astrio İSÇ4
07.07.2021 Astrio Astrio 3-3 HT 0-1 Vastra Frolunda IF Vastra Frolunda IF İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vastra Frolunda IF
4-3
AWAY Astrio
31% Ball Possession 69%
16 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Vastra Frolunda IF vs Astrio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vastra Frolunda IF edged past Astrio 4-3. Half-time: 3-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (44% / 17% / 39%) promised a tight game; Vastra Frolunda IF found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Vastra Frolunda IF had 31% of the ball to Astrio's 69%, shots finished 16-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Vastra Frolunda IF had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Vastra Frolunda IF and 2.00 for Astrio.

What was the final score of Vastra Frolunda IF vs Astrio?

Vastra Frolunda IF 4-3 Astrio in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 20/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vastra Frolunda IF vs Astrio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vastra Frolunda IF win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Vastra Frolunda IF 44%, draw 17%, Astrio 39%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vastra Frolunda IF), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vastra Frolunda IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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