Skelleftea 2-2 Ytterhogdal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 20 Jun 2024

📅20/06/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.61
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.61
Over 2.5
47%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
56%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
58%
-6.2pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.2pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+4.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
35%
+18.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
65%
-18.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-10.3pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Skelleftea EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Ytterhogdal EU Bookmakers 24%
-8% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
2.25/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/2.82
-1% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -29%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
332 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Skelleftea
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Ytterhogdal
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
02.09.2023 Skelleftea Skelleftea 1-0 HT 0-0 Ytterhogdal Ytterhogdal İSÇ4
06.05.2023 Ytterhogdal Ytterhogdal 0-3 HT 0-1 Skelleftea Skelleftea İSÇ4
09.04.2022 Ytterhogdal Ytterhogdal 0-0 HT 0-0 Skelleftea Skelleftea İSÇ4
27.11.2021 Ytterhogdal Ytterhogdal 1-3 HT 0-1 Skelleftea Skelleftea İSÇ4
25.09.2021 Skelleftea Skelleftea 4-0 HT 2-0 Ytterhogdal Ytterhogdal İSÇ4
17.10.2020 Skelleftea Skelleftea 3-0 HT 1-0 Ytterhogdal Ytterhogdal İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Skelleftea vs Ytterhogdal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Skelleftea and Ytterhogdal shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Skelleftea at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Skelleftea had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Skelleftea and 0.17 for Ytterhogdal.

What was the final score of Skelleftea vs Ytterhogdal?

Skelleftea 2-2 Ytterhogdal in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 20/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Skelleftea vs Ytterhogdal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Skelleftea win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Skelleftea 52%, draw 23%, Ytterhogdal 26%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Skelleftea), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Skelleftea) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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